Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.415809 0.460349 0.508234 0.563637 0.626090 0.694445 0.775102
2025-05-11 0.344100 0.405576 0.476585 0.565080 0.672975 0.800964 0.965340
2025-05-18 0.305845 0.375752 0.460463 0.571495 0.714398 0.893767 1.138525
2025-05-25 0.270304 0.342973 0.434393 0.559101 0.726719 0.946980 1.262919
2025-06-01 0.250526 0.327035 0.426532 0.567188 0.763792 1.033180 1.437824
2025-06-08 0.230034 0.307650 0.411496 0.562899 0.781877 1.093182 1.580402
2025-06-15 0.215683 0.294956 0.403840 0.567211 0.811189 1.170342 1.754972
2025-06-22 0.199434 0.278072 0.388582 0.558630 0.819883 1.216621 1.885702
2025-06-29 0.186162 0.264275 0.376415 0.553098 0.831904 1.268006 2.028869
2025-07-06 0.169781 0.244694 0.354191 0.530203 0.814367 1.270287 2.089468
2025-07-13 0.162796 0.238553 0.351494 0.537114 0.844498 1.351906 2.294374
2025-07-20 0.156282 0.232611 0.348548 0.543146 0.873307 1.433424 2.507820
2025-07-27 0.149580 0.226070 0.344405 0.547205 0.899682 1.514261 2.732055
2025-08-03 0.142776 0.218934 0.338823 0.548402 0.921180 1.588554 2.953422
2025-08-10 0.137592 0.214014 0.336405 0.554613 0.951799 1.681995 3.223917
2025-08-17 0.129332 0.203552 0.324122 0.542637 0.948141 1.710479 3.364593
2025-08-24 0.125390 0.199981 0.323113 0.550451 0.981700 1.813429 3.675485
2025-08-31 0.119639 0.193013 0.315836 0.546307 0.992001 1.871190 3.895013
2025-09-07 0.115715 0.188915 0.313232 0.550473 1.018605 1.964234 4.206143
2025-09-14 0.110063 0.181510 0.304352 0.542182 1.019666 2.004137 4.398706
2025-09-21 0.105260 0.175334 0.297296 0.536836 1.026155 2.056012 4.626784
2025-09-28 0.098283 0.164962 0.282102 0.514711 0.996227 2.025875 4.648329
2025-10-05 0.095906 0.162704 0.281601 0.521390 1.027214 2.133578 5.033846